2.2 million households expected by 2038

Dec 11, 2017 | Research

Updated subnational family and household projections released today by Statistics New Zealand indicate future changes in the number and composition of families and households in New Zealand. One person living alone, or many people living together are examples of household types.

“Growth in the number of households reflects population growth from net migration and natural increase, but also population ageing, which is changing our country’s age composition,” population statistics senior manager Peter Dolan said.

“The projections suggest we’ll need more houses for these households, but different houses from what we’ve typically built, given the likely growth in one- or two-person households. The projections provide useful information for government, businesses, and communities thinking about future demand for infrastructure and services,” Mr Dolan said.

Nearly half the projected additional households in 2038 will be in the Auckland region, 31 percent in the rest of the North Island, and almost 20 percent in the South Island. However, much of the growth is expected to come in the short term. All regions, cities, and most districts are projected to grow faster in the years to 2023 than for the rest of the projection period.

Family households will continue to be the biggest proportion of households in all areas, although their share is likely to decrease – with one-person households making up an increasing share in most areas. This is driven by population ageing, as older people are the most likely to live alone. Of those living alone, 64 percent are projected to be aged 60+ in 2038, compared with 54 percent in 2013.

As more people will be living in one- or two-person households, the average household size in most areas is expected to drop slightly. Of the cities and districts, Thames-Coromandel is projected to have the lowest average household size in 2038 – 2.0 people (compared with 2.2 in 2013); Auckland will have the highest – 2.8 people per household (compared with 2.9 in 2013).

Note: A household comprises one person who usually resides alone, or two or more people who usually reside together and share facilities (such as eating facilities, cooking facilities, bathroom and toilet facilities, a living area).

Subnational family and household projections are available for New Zealand’s 16 regional council areas (regions), 67 territorial authority areas, and 21 Auckland local board areas.

For more information about these statistics click here.

Recent articles

Annual Report

CHA’s Annual Report for 1st July 2019 to 30th June 2020

CHA’s Annual Report for 1st July 2019 to 30th June 2020

Strategic Plan

CHA’s Strategic Plan 2018

CHA’s Strategic Plan 2018

Featured Network

Residential Tenancies Act Community of Practice

Residential Tenancies Act Community of Practice

Our Place

Our Place 2017

Our Place 2017

Case Studies

Media Releases

The Shift Aotearoa conference 2021 issues papers released

Community Housing Aotearoa’s three pre-conference work programmes are kicking off next week with initial zoom meetings in the Narrative Transformation and Housing System Settings streams scheduled for Tuesday 26 January at 10AM and 1PM respectively. Issues papers to...

News

CHA Level 4 Guidance Document 8 September

CHA Level 4 Guidance Document 8 September Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) has put together this document to consolidate information, contacts, resources and advice to help you in your day to day service delivery and decision making. It will be updated as new...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) COVID-19 Update 26 August 2021

Message from CHA's Chief Executive, Productivity Commission Submission - Include Housing in the Terms of Reference, CHA's support for members, sharing ideas and issues, Ministry of Health information and advice, Government support for your organisation, important...

Newsletters

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 12 October 2021

Message from Chief Executive, Fortnightly Sector Zoom Calls, Tenancy Management Community of Practice, Ngāti Toa Secures A Deal To Ensure High Quality, Healthy And Affordable Homes At Kenepuru Landing, More Progressive Home Ownership Opportunities for First Home...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 4 October 2021

Message from Chief Executive, SUPPORT FOR MEMBERS, Be part of 'The Big Auckland Morning Tea Shout' for Auckland's frontline community workers, HUD launches new interactive housing dashboard, Submissions close tomorrow on new legislation for restricting terminations...

Submissions

Legislation

Reports

Te Whakaruruhau Report

The Te Whakaruruhau Report establishes the peak body services to the Homelessness Sector by Te Matapihi he Tirohanga mō te IwiTrust and Community Housing Aotearoa. The report can be found here: Te Whakaruruhau September 2020

Research

BRANZ research report on ‘exceeding the minimum’ released

This report looks at the question: why don’t landlords choose features that exceed the minimum building standards and what are the enablers to changing this? The aim is to identify the barriers to an improved rental stock and potential solutions to overcome the...

Community Housing Aotearoa

Contact Us

Contact Info

Level 11, Ranchhod Tower,
39 The Terrace /
102-112 Lambton Quay
PO Box 11543
Wellington 6142

+04 385 8722

support@communityhousing.org.nz

Follow On