Labour will lose in 2020 without more progress on housing affordability: Pavletich

Jan 22, 2019 | News

The Labour-led government risks electoral defeat in 2020 unless it makes demonstrable progress on affordable housing this year, says the outspoken author of an annual survey of global housing affordability.

Hugh Pavletich, the Christchurch-based co-author of the Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey, says in his introduction that the results of the 2019 survey “will come as a shock” to New Zealand’s Labour-led government.

Billed as “the world’s largest known collection of housing affordability data at the housing market level”, the 2019 survey is the 15th in the series. It concentrates on what it calls ‘middle-income housing affordability’ rather than subsidised housing for low-income households and measures median house prices by median annual gross pre-tax household income.

On that basis, it finds Hong Kong has the world’s most unaffordable housing, with a ratio of median house price to median household income of 20.9 times. New Zealand is ranked second at nine times in ‘major housing markets’, although this drops to 6.5 times when measured across all housing markets in New Zealand. The major markets unaffordability in New Zealand is driven particularly by Auckland and Tauranga, ranked the eighth and ninth least affordable cities, with ratios of 9.1 and 9.0 respectively. The survey covers 309 cities in the English-speaking world plus Singapore and Hong Kong,

Sydney at 11.7 times and Melbourne at 9.7 times rank as the third and fourth least affordable, while Hong Kong and Vancouver top the list. Palmerston North ranks as New Zealand’s most affordable city, with a median price to household income ratio of 5.0.

The most affordable housing markets are all in the US and Canada, although Los Angeles, Miami and New York all rank as ‘severely unaffordable’ markets.

The Demographia commentary acknowledges that the New Zealand and Singaporean governments are the only two of those surveyed that are actively prioritising affordable housing, although Pavletich told Radio New Zealand the government’s KiwiBuild target for affordable homes in Auckland at $650,000 was “an insult” to people’s intelligence.

“Put simply, if this government fails to perform with housing issues in 2019, it will deservedly be thrown out at the next general election, late 2020,” he said in his commentary for the report.

Known for a constant stream of fiery rhetorical commentary on New Zealand housing issues, Pavleteich says “the New Zealand public and media will not tolerate political and institutional failure – something the previous government was taught at the 2017 election”.

Housing Minister Phil Twyford has so far not commented on the report, the credibility of which has been boosted in the past by then Finance Minister Bill English penning the introduction for the ninth report in 2013.

Recent articles

Community Housing Aotearoa newsletter 27 June 2022

Community Housing Aotearoa newsletter 27 June 2022

Our CEO Vic Crockford reflects on our past, while looking forward, Dwell Housing Trust's board is recognised for their sterling efforts, new research highlights NZ's ongoing housing challenges. Upcoming events include; the Community Housing Aotearoa MSD Training...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 13 June 2022

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 13 June 2022

Kaupapakāinga: The potential for Māori cohousing, The Shift Directives - Leilani Farha, IN THE NEWS, EVENTS, National Volunteer Week, Te Wiki Tūao ā-Motu, Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) | MSD Training Series - Session 3: Emergency Housing, Community Housing Aotearoa...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 30 May 2022

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 30 May 2022

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 30 May 2022, 2022 Minister of Health Volunteer Awards now open for nominations, Community Finance takes out Innovation in Finance award, Budget 2022 panel discussion, Two new Pacific roles at CHA, NRHCC - winter wellness and...

Annual Report

CHA’s 2020/21 Annual Report

CHA’s 2020/21 Annual Report

Strategic Plan

CHA’s 2022-2023 Strategic Workplan

CHA’s 2022-2023 Strategic Workplan

Featured Network

Residential Tenancies Act Community of Practice

Residential Tenancies Act Community of Practice

Our Place

Our Place Report 2017

Our Place Report 2017

Case Studies

Media Releases

News

Anti-Social Behaviour notes Nov 21

Tenants Protection Association (Chch) Inc. Notes for presentation at Tenancy Management Community of Practice Nov 2021 Anti-Social Behaviour notes Nov 21

Tenancy Management COP November 2021 summary

tenancy-management-cop-november-2021-summary The final Tenancy Management Community of Practice for 2021 was held via zoom on 11th November 2021. This Community of Practice is relevant for advocates, practitioners, navigators and tenancy managers involved in...

Newsletters

Community Housing Aotearoa newsletter 27 June 2022

Our CEO Vic Crockford reflects on our past, while looking forward, Dwell Housing Trust's board is recognised for their sterling efforts, new research highlights NZ's ongoing housing challenges. Upcoming events include; the Community Housing Aotearoa MSD Training...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 13 June 2022

Kaupapakāinga: The potential for Māori cohousing, The Shift Directives - Leilani Farha, IN THE NEWS, EVENTS, National Volunteer Week, Te Wiki Tūao ā-Motu, Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) | MSD Training Series - Session 3: Emergency Housing, Community Housing Aotearoa...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 30 May 2022

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 30 May 2022, 2022 Minister of Health Volunteer Awards now open for nominations, Community Finance takes out Innovation in Finance award, Budget 2022 panel discussion, Two new Pacific roles at CHA, NRHCC - winter wellness and...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 17 May 2022

Māori, Pacific needs left out of one size fits all approach to high-density developments, HUD and CHA Online Engagement on draft Public Housing Design Guidelines, In the News, RESOURCES, 2022 updates to healthy homes standards regulations take effect today,...

Community Housing Aotearoa (CHA) Newsletter 2 May 2022

Human Rights Commission releases troubling indicators on habitability, COVID-19 RESPONSE, First funds released from council housing reserve, Seven-point plan released to tackle cost of living, Community Finance nominated for top industry award, In the News, Events,...

Submissions

Legislation

Reports

Research

Community Housing Aotearoa

Contact Us

Contact Info

Level 11, Ranchhod Tower,
39 The Terrace /
102-112 Lambton Quay
PO Box 11543
Wellington 6142

+04 385 8722

support@communityhousing.org.nz

Follow On